CeeDee Lamb just had the best season of his career. He is just three years into his career and already has 260 receptions for 3,396 yards. He’s a dominant wide receiver that has made the most of his chances. Each year of his career, he’s improved his numbers. Will that continue this year? Can Lamb push for a season close to Justin Jefferson or Ja’Marr Chase? One thing is certain. Lamb is going to put up some big numbers in 2023.
2022 Season Recap
The star wide receiver had a career season with career highs in every significant category. He saw 156 targets, caught 107 for 1,359 yards, and had nine touchdowns. Plus, he added 47 rushing yards on ten attempts. Lamb was an All-Pro Second Team and a repeat Pro Bowler. He showed the Dallas Cowboys that they made the right choice in betting on him over Amari Cooper. Lamb showed no signs of struggle without another significant wide receiver on the opposite side of the field. He and Dak Prescott continued to have a strong connection. Once again, Lamb proved tough to take down, with ten broken tackles and 4.5 yards after the catch.
Those numbers are big for fantasy as they lead to additional points. From an advanced stats point of view, Lamb was a significant player. He was top-ten in expected points added, points per route run, juke rate, yards per route run, yards per team pass attempt, expected points per game, deep targets, and many more. Lamb was an overall star. No wonder he finished so high on the wide receiver leaderboard. He firmly established himself as a WR1 in dynasty for the next seven or eight years.
2023 Season Projections
The Dallas Cowboys dropped Ezekiel Elliot, didn’t re-sign Dalton Schultz, and traded for Brandin Cooks. They still have Michael Gallup and a smattering of wide receivers and tight ends. However, this is very clearly Lamb’s offense. Tony Pollard and Brandin Cooks are the only two other significant skill players. They will get their looks. However, Lamb will carry the brunt of the workload, especially in the passing game.
That’s why I have Lamb back on pace for another career season. He’s just entering his prime at 24 years old. Lamb will get thrown the ball a ton, especially with the Cowboys not having as big a rush game as in recent years. And the Cowboys know how to use Lamb. He knows how to get open, evidenced by his sixth-place win rate vs. man coverage and eighth-place overall route win rate last year. Lamb is in store for a top-12 finish this year. He’s a top-tier WR1 and could even push for the best WR1 finish against Jefferson and Chase should he see deeper targets and more red-zone looks.
Long-Term Dynasty Outlook
Lamb is a fantasy stud. He’s already a top-twelve dynasty wide receiver. One could argue he’s in the top five. I wouldn’t disagree. You can rebuild while keeping him on your roster, with his being so young. After all, it’s not like wide receivers like him grow on trees. Lamb is worth at least two early-mid firsts. He’s only 24, has at least seven great years left, and could still perform even better.
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As always, May the Force be with You…