Tight End Start/Sit Advice | Week 16 of THE 12 FORMATION

Hold the Line! It's time for our Senior NFL Nerd @CoachStevenP to pull together your TE room for his Week 16 Tight End Start/Sit. Don't lose the Semifinals because of a onesie position!
This entry is part 6 of 7 in the series Win Your Week 16

The Dynasty Nerds writers are here to provide you with weekly start/sit advice all season long. We will be making our recommendations based on weekly consensus PPR rankings. Here is the Week 16 Tight End Start/Sit from Senior NFL Nerd Steven Pintado.

Week 16 Tight End Start/Sit Players to Win Your Fantasy Football Championship TEs FF Roster Lineup Advice AMA Semifinals
(Photo by Michael Allio/Icon Sportswire)

This time of year, one loss ends your season. But, if the odds are stacked against you, it’s time to come swinging. A tight end that will get you 10 points may not be enough. Someone like Jake Ferguson, Juwan Johnson, or Grant Calcaterra might end up falling flat, but they could also end up being the reason you win. Here’s to hoping you win your fantasy championship this year! Now, let’s get to it…


Win Your Week 16 | QB | RB | WR | TE | IDP | CHEATCHART | FULL SLATE


NOTE: Rankings for the Week 16 Tight End Start/Sit are sourced from FantasyPros expert consensus expert rankings (ECR). Our terminology is for a 12-team PPR league. So, TE1 means top 12, or TE2 means top 24, etc.

Our writers answer all positional questions, including Week 16 tight end start/sit, on Discord before the games exclusively for the #Nerdherd. The advanced metrics used in this article are courtesy of Fantasy Points Data Suite.

Top 3 Toughest Matchups
Fantasy PlayerOpposing TeamDef vs FPPGAvg Def vs YardsTDs Allowed
Cole KmetDET4.436.62
Jonnu SmithSF4.835.13
Kyle PittsNYG5.340.13
Top 3 Softest Matchups
Fantasy PlayerOpposing TeamDef vs FPPGAvg Def vs YardsTDs Allowed
Trey McBrideCAR10.956.910
David NjokuCIN10.667.19
Chigoziem OkonkwoIND9.758.99

Week 16 Tight End PPR Rankings by Steven Pintado


START | Week 16 Tight End Start/Sit

Brenton Strange | Jackonsonville Jaguars | TE 12

Week 15 Stats | TE 2 | FPts 18.3 | Tgts 12 | Rec 11 | Yds 73 | Confidence 75%

Our tight end, which you MUST start in Week 16, has to be Brenton Strange. While it may be strange to consider Strange a start this week, let me explain. The Jaguars’ second-year tight end showed us a glimpse of production early in the season, the first time Evan Engram missed time, he averaged 8 fantasy points per game from Weeks 2 to 4.

Week 16 Tight End Start/Sit Players to Win Your Fantasy Football Championship TEs FF Roster Lineup Advice AMA Semifinals
(Photo by David Rosenblum/Icon Sportswire)

In his first game without Evan Engram last week, he saw 12 targets and caught 11 for 73 yards. Unlike last time, Strange won’t compete with Christian Kirk and Gabe Davis for targets. Outside of Brian Thomas Jr., the Jaguars don’t have much talent. Mac Jones likes to use his tight ends, and Strange benefited from that. The Raiders are a great matchup that has recently allowed production to fantasy tight ends. Strange should do well in your lineups.

SIT | Week 16 Tight End Start/Sit

Mark Andrews | Baltimore Ravens | TE 7

Week 15 Stats | TE 9 | FPts 10.4 | Tgts 2 | Rec 2 | Yds 24 | 1 TD | Confidence 70%

Our tight end SIT for Week 16 is going to be Mark Andrews. Fantasy managers got lucky last week when Andrews scored that touchdown against the Giants after only a two-target game. Andrews has been performing better over his last 3 games, averaging 12.8 fantasy points. Andrews has been a little touchdown-dependent with a touchdown in 4 of the last 5 games. In those games, he has only one game with 5 or more targets.

Week 16 Tight End Start/Sit Players to Win Your Fantasy Football Championship TEs FF Roster Lineup Advice AMA Semifinals
(Photo by Randy Litzinger/Icon Sportswire)

Andrews will face off in another tough matchup in Week 16. He will face off against the Steelers, who have been a middle-of-the-pack team against tight ends. In 10 career games, Andrews has been unable to cross the endzone. The rest of Andrews’ stats versus the Steelers have been inconsistent in fantasy. If Andrews can see over 8 targets, then he has done well, averaging 6.5 receptions with 75 yards in 4 career games. If Andrews doesn’t reach that, he has averaged 2.8 receptions for 29.8 yards in 6 career games. Andrews hasn’t been the go-to pass catcher for Jackson this year; I could see Andrews disappointing fantasy managers in Week 16.

Streamer | START | Week 16 Tight End Start/Sit

Chigoziem Okonkwo | Tenneesse Titans | TE 20

Week 15 Stats | TE 6 | FPts 13.9 | Tgts 10 | Rec 8 | Yds 59 | Confidence 55%

Our tight end streamer for Week 16 will be Chigoziem Okonkwo from the Titans. We’ve all been hurt by Okonkwo before, BUT he could surprise us in Week 16. The biggest bump for Okonkwo is Mason Rudolph will be starting, which will boost the passing game. Okonkwo continues to play the boom or bust role in fantasy, with 2 of his last 4 games with 10 or more fantasy points. The other 2 games, he was under 6 fantasy points.

Week 16 Tight End Start/Sit Players to Win Your Fantasy Football Championship TEs FF Roster Lineup Advice AMA Semifinals
(Photo by Jevone Moore/Icon Sportswire)

Okonkwo will get a favorable matchup against the Colts in Week 16. They allow the 3rd-most fantasy points per game to tight ends, per Pro Football Reference. Over the last 6 games, the Colts have given up 5 touchdowns to an opposing tight end. The tight ends catching these touchdowns have been Josh Oliver, Kenny Yeboah, Austin Hooper, Nate Adkins, and Adam Trautman. Okonkwo is arguably better than all of these tight ends. The Titans tight end has averaged 6 targets per game over the last 3 weeks, which means he could pleasantly surprise fantasy managers.

Spotlight | START | Week 16 Tight End Start/Sit

Dalton Kincaid | Buffalo Bills | TE 13

Week 15 Stats | TE 14 | FPts 9.3 | Tgts 7 | Rec 4 | Yds 53 | Confidence 78%

Our tight end spotlight has to be Dalton Kincaid. The Bills tight end has not been discussed much in our tight end article this year. Kincaid has dealt with injuries and low production for most of the season. It looks like he is finally healthy and saw seven targets in his first game back. Kincaid, this season, when he can get at least 7 targets, has averaged 10 fantasy points per game. The Bills passing game doesn’t have a consistent option outside of Khalil Shakir.

Week 16 Tight End Start/Sit Players to Win Your Fantasy Football Championship TEs FF Roster Lineup Advice AMA Semifinals
(Photo by Peter Joneleit/Icon Sportswire)

Dalton Kincaid will face off against the Patriots in Week 16. The Patriots have been a middle-of-the-road team against tight ends this season, allowing 7.3 fantasy points per game. In 2 of the last 3 games, the Patriots have allowed 80 or more receiving yards to an opposing tight end. This is great for Kincaid since he has averaged 80 receiving yards in his 2 career games versus the Patriots. The Bills will continue to show off to teams as they attempt to get that no. 1 seed from the Chiefs. Kincaid is going to be a big part of that come Sunday.

Redemption | START | Week 16 Tight End Start/Sit

Brock Bowers | Las Vegas Raiders | TE 2

Week 15 Stats | TE22 | FPts 6.5 | Tgts 6 | Rec 3 | Yds 35 | Confidence 90%

Our tight end who should redeem themselves this week is rookie Brock Bowers. Last week, Bowers disappointed fantasy managers, and if you survived with him, congratulations. While he did see 6 targets last week, the quality of those targets was poor. The return of Aidan O’Connell this week will give a bump in targets downfield. Desmond Ridder had a 13% check-down rate, while O’Connell’s was 6% per Fantasy Points. Bowers has averaged 11 targets per game when O’Connell gets the start for the Raiders.

Week 16 Tight End Start/Sit Players to Win Your Fantasy Football Championship TEs FF Roster Lineup Advice AMA Semifinals
(Photo by Peter Joneleit/Icon Sportswire)

Bowers squares up with the Jaguars in Week 16. They have been a bottom-10 defense per game against fantasy tight ends. They have allowed the 3rd-most touchdowns to the position. When opposing tight ends see at least 5 targets against Jacksonville, they average 5 receptions for 50 yards and .44 touchdowns in 8 games. I’d expect the Raiders to fight to win this game, but it will require Bowers to produce at a high level.


Looking ahead to 2025, check out NFL Draft Nerd Bobby Bishop‘s NFL Mock Draft 2.0 with two rounds of selections for all 32 NFL teams:


Win Your Week 16 | QB | RB | WR | TE | IDP | CHEATCHART | FULL SLATE


Week 16 Tight End PPR Rankings

RankingsName
1Trey McBride
2Brock Bowers
3George Kittle
4Jonnu Smith
5Sam LaPorta
6T.J. Hockenson
7Tucker Kraft
8Travis Kelce
9Hunter Henry
10Brenton Strange
11Jake Ferguson
12Dalton Kincaid
13Mark Andrews
14Pat Freiermuth
15Cade Otton
16Juwan Johnson
17Dalton Schultz
18Noah Gray
19Stone Smartt
20Kyle Pitts
21Chig Okonkwo
22Cole Kmet
23Isaiah Likely
24Grant Calcaterra
25Jordan Akins
26Zach Ertz
27Mike Gesicki
28Tyler Conklin
29Ben Sinnott
30Austin Hooper
31Noah Fant
32Dawson Knox
33Ja’Tavion Sanders
34Foster Moreau
35Daniel Bellinger
36Michael Mayer
37Tommy Tremble
38Josh Whyle
39Colby Parkinson
40Tommy Tremble
NOTE: These rankings are made prior to final injury designations. Players may be ranked higher or lower based on the perceived likelihood of them playing and/or their effectiveness if they do play.
Thank you for reading the Week 16 Tight End Start/Sit! Are you interested in joining the #NerdHerd? Use the code “COACH” for 15% off any membership. Sign up here and get an edge on all of your league mates today!
Series Navigation<< Wide Receiver Start/Sit Advice | Week 16 of The SLANT PATTERNIDP Fantasy Start/Sit Advice | Week 16 of THE BLINDSIDE >>

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