The Week 5 Fantasy Preview for Thursday Night Football and the International Sunday game was curated by senior staff writer Steven Pintado using statistics from the Fantasy Points Data Suite. If you want access to these stats (and dozens of other proprietary figures) sign up here and use promo code NERDS to save 25% on a Data Suite or All-In subscription. Without further ado, let’s dig in to the TNF/International fantasy preview!
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-1) vs Atlanta Falcons (2-2)
Game Summary
- Thursday Night Football: 8:15 PM
- Mercedes-Benz Stadium
- Field Type: Turf
- Weather: Indoors
- Atlanta Falcons are favored (-1.5) with an Over/Under of 43.5
- Stream on Prime Video
| Team | Def. Rank Vs. QBS | Def. Rank Vs. RBS | Def. Rank Vs. WRS | Def. Rank Vs. TES | Def. 2 Man % | Def. Zone % | Offensive Plays Ran | Points Per Game | Pass Yards Per Game | Rush Yards per Game |
| Buccaneers | 27th | 21st | 4th | 10th | 13.8 | 84.4 | 59.5 | 24.3 | 223 | 96 |
| Falcons | 14th | 9th | 12th | 26th | 17.2 | 76.6 | 53.8 | 18.8 | 206.5 | 102.8 |
The first fantasy preview of Week 5 has the Buccaneers traveling to Atlanta to take on the Falcons for Thursday Night Football. The Buccaneers will continue relying on their passing game, as it was red hot a week ago. You should expect great games from Chris Godwin and Mike Evans.
For the Falcons, it all centers around Bijan Robinson. The offense didn’t look good when Robinson has struggled. This is why the Falcons brought in Kirk Cousins—to step up in a big divisional game.
Quarterbacks
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | |||||||||||
| Player | Fantasy Rank (6 PPT) | Week 5 Ranking | Start % | FP/G | A/G | SCRM | A/G | First Read % | YAC % | Press % | ADOT |
| Baker Mayfield | 2nd | QB1 | 90% | 25.5 | 32.3 | 3.0 | 262.3 | 69 | 59.2 | 23.2 | 5.7 |
| Atlanta Falcons | |||||||||||
| Player | Fantasy Rank (6 PPT) | Week 5 Ranking | Start % | FP/G | A/G | SCRM | YDS/G | First Read % | YAC % | Press % | ADOT |
| Kirk Cousins | 27th | QB2 | 60% | 12.6 | 29.8 | 1.5 | 215.5 | 62.2 | 51.3 | 31 | 7.7 |
- Baker Mayfield is averaging 9 fantasy points fewer on the road than at home.
- Kirk Cousins has thrown 4 interceptions in 3 home games this year.
Running Backs
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | ||||||||||||||
| Player | Fantasy Rank (PPR) | Week 5 Ranking | Start % | FP/G | ATT/G | ATT % | TGT % | Off. Snaps/G | i5% | i20% | EXP Run % | MTF/ATT | YACO/ATT | YBCO/ATT |
| Rachaad White | 36th | RB3 | 75% | 9.7 | 10.3 | 43.6 | 12.4 | 68% | 37.5 | 33.3 | 4.9 | 0.22 | 2.12 | 0.68 |
| Bucky Irving | 40th | RB3 | 76% | 7.4 | 8.8 | 37.2 | 6.2 | 35% | 37.5 | 40 | 8.6 | 0.23 | 3.06 | 2.74 |
| Atlanta Falcons | ||||||||||||||
| Player | Fantasy Rank (PPR) | Week 5 Ranking | Start % | FP/G | ATT/G | ATT % | TGT % | Off. Snaps/G | i5% | i20% | EXP Run % | MTF/ATT | YACO/ATT | YBCO/ATT |
| Bijan Robinson | 23rd | RB1 | 90% | 14.2 | 13.8 | 61.1 | 13.4 | 78% | 100 | 50 | 3.6 | 0.16 | 2.09 | 1.98 |
| Tyler Allgeier | 50th | RB3 | 60% | 5.7 | 6.8 | 30.0 | 2.5 | 25% | 0 | 50 | 7.4 | 0.19 | 2.63 | 3.52 |
- The Falcons have allowed 70 or more rushing yards to an opposing running back in every game.
- The Buccaneers have allowed 70 or more rushing yards in the last 3 games.
Pass Catchers
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | ||||||||||||||
| Player | Fantasy Rank (PPR) | Week 5 Ranking | Start % | FP/G | Off. Snaps/G | TGT/G | TGT % | RTE/G | SLOT RTE % | YAC | EZTGT | 1READ % | MAN WIN RATE | ZONE WIN RATE |
| Mike Evans | 21st | WR1 | 90% | 14.4 | 80% | 6.8 | 20.93 | 30 | 28.3 | 63 | 6 | 25.8 | 36 | 15.4 |
| Chris Godwin | 7th | WR1 | 95% | 19.3 | 83% | 8.5 | 26.36 | 29.3 | 65 | 188 | 1 | 33.7 | 29.2 | 7.9 |
| Jalen McMillan | 88th | Outside the Top 60 | 10% | 5.0 | 80% | 2.0 | 4.65 | 18.3 | 26 | 8 | 0 | 5.6 | 19.4 | 16.2 |
| Cade Otton (TE) | TE 22 | TE2 | 50% | 5.5 | 93% | 5.3 | 16.28 | 26.3 | 29.5 | 50 | 1 | 13.5 | 19 | 8.5 |
| Atlanta Falcons | ||||||||||||||
| Player | Fantasy Rank (PPR) | Week 5 Ranking | Start % | FP/G | Off. Snaps/G | TGT/G | TGT % | RTE/G | SLOT RTE % | YAC | EZTGT | 1READ % | MAN WIN RATE | ZONE WIN RATE |
| Drake London | 30th | WR2 | 80% | 13.0 | 100% | 7.8 | 26.05 | 27.5 | 32.7 | 49 | 3 | 37.8 | 29.4 | 16.9 |
| Darnell Mooney | 43rd | WR4 | 65% | 10.9 | 95% | 6.0 | 20.17 | 28.5 | 38.6 | 89 | 0 | 24.3 | 29.7 | 17.8 |
| Kyle Pitts (TE) | TE 18 | TE1 | 70% | 6.1 | 77% | 3.8 | 12.61 | 21.3 | 35.3 | 38 | 2 | 9.5 | 23.1 | 10.9 |
- The Buccaneers have allowed just 1 receiving touchdown to a receiver this season.
- The Falcons have allowed 5 receivers to amass over 70 receiving yards during their 4 games.
New York Jets (2-2) vs. Minnesota Vikings (4-0)
Pre-Game Fantasy Preview
- Sunday International Football: 9:30 AM
- Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
- Field Type: Turf
- Weather: Occasional Showers
- Minnsota Vikings are favored (-2.5) with an Over/Under 40.5
- Watch on NFL Net
| Team | Def. Rank Vs. QBS | Def. Rank Vs. RBS | Def. Rank Vs. WRS | Def. Rank Vs. TES | Def. 2 Man % | Def. Zone % | Offensive Plays Ran | Points Per Game | Pass Yards Per Game | Rush Yards per Game |
| Jets | 2nd | 6th | 9th | 3rd | 35.7 | 62 | 61.3 | 19 | 203.3 | 91.5 |
| Vikings | 13th | 3rd | 30th | 27th | 15.4 | 77.6 | 57.3 | 29 | 217 | 123.8 |
The NFL is heading overseas again, with the Jets and Vikings playing in London. The Jets will look to rebound after a terrible Week 4 performance on offense. New York may need to lean on their passing game in a favorable matchup in the air. It all starts with getting Breece Hall going, even in a tough matchup. The Vikings are in for another test as they take on a Jets defense that ranks in the Top 10. If Sam Darnold throws the ball to Justin Jefferson, then the offense should do well.
Quarterbacks
| New York Jets | |||||||||||
| Player | Fantasy Rank (6 PPT) | Week 5 Ranking | Start % | FP/G | A/G | SCRM | A/G | First Read % | YAC % | Press % | ADOT |
| Aaron Rodgers | 19th | QB2 | 65% | 16.6 | 32.0 | 2.8 | 223.3 | 67.2 | 54.4 | 24 | 6.5 |
| Minnesota Vikings | |||||||||||
| Player | Fantasy Rank (6 PPT) | Week 5 Ranking | Start % | FP/G | A/G | SCRM | YDS/G | First Read % | YAC % | Press % | ADOT |
| Sam Darnold | 4th | QB2 | 75% | 25.1 | 26.5 | 3.8 | 245.5 | 64.2 | 44.1 | 39.3 | 8.3 |
- Aaron Rodgers has averaged 245 passing yards and 2 touchdowns vs. the Vikings in his career.
- Sam Darnold has over 20 fantasy points in each of his last 3 starts.
Running Backs
| New York Jets | ||||||||||||||
| Player | Fantasy Rank (PPR) | Week 5 Ranking | Start % | FP/G | ATT/G | ATT % | TGT % | Off. Snaps/G | i5% | i20% | EXP Run % | MTF/ATT | YACO/ATT | YBCO/ATT |
| Breece Hall | 15th | RB1 | 90% | 16.2 | 14.0 | 56.6 | 17.6 | 74% | 100 | 58.3 | 3.6 | 0.14 | 2.71 | 0.39 |
| Braelon Allen | 37th | RB3 | 65% | 9.4 | 6.8 | 27.3 | 6.6 | 30% | 0 | 16.7 | 3.7 | 0.26 | 3.37 | 1.44 |
| Minnesota Vikings | ||||||||||||||
| Player | Fantasy Rank (PPR) | Week 5 Ranking | Start % | FP/G | ATT/G | ATT % | TGT % | Off. Snaps/G | i5% | i20% | EXP Run % | MTF/ATT | YACO/ATT | YBCO/ATT |
| Aaron Jones | 8th | RB1 | 95% | 18.1 | 16.0 | 57.1 | 17.9 | 65% | 85.7 | 66.7 | 7.8 | 0.16 | 3.58 | 1.44 |
| Ty Chandler | 54th | RB4 | 45% | 4.8 | 7.0 | 25.0 | 3.8 | 29% | 0 | 16.7 | 3.6 | 0.11 | 1.46 | 2.71 |
- Breece Hall (3.1) is averaging fewer yards per carry compared to Braelon Allen (4.6)
- Aaron Jones is the clear RB1 in Minnesota with a significantly higher Att%, Off. Snap/G, and I5% work over Ty Chandler.
Pass Catchers
| New York Jets | ||||||||||||||
| Player | Fantasy Rank (PPR) | Week 5 Ranking | Start % | FP/G | Off. Snaps/G | TGT/G | TGT % | RTE/G | SLOT RTE % | YAC | EZTGT | 1READ % | MAN WIN RATE | ZONE WIN RATE |
| Garrett Wilson | 43rd | WR2 | 85% | 10.9 | 94% | 8.5 | 25.0 | 35 | 42.9 | 79 | 1 | 31.2 | 30 | 13.2 |
| Mike Williams | 88th | Outside the top 60 | 40% | 5.0 | 54% | 2.5 | 7.4 | 18 | 15.3 | 19 | 1 | 9.7 | 17.2 | 7.1 |
| Allen Lazard | 24th | WR4 | 60% | 13.7 | 81% | 6.0 | 17.6 | 31 | 44.4 | 94 | 1 | 20.4 | 7.8 | 10 |
| Tyler Conklin (TE) | TE 21 | TE2 | 70% | 5.9 | 92% | 4.5 | 13.24 | 29.8 | 52.9 | 61 | 1 | 7.5 | 13 | 3.3 |
| Minnesota Vikings | ||||||||||||||
| Player | Fantasy Rank (PPR) | Week 5 Ranking | Start % | FP/G | Off. Snaps/G | TGT/G | TGT % | RTE/G | SLOT RTE % | YAC | EZTGT | 1READ % | MAN WIN RATE | ZONE WIN RATE |
| Justin Jefferson | 4th | WR1 | 95% | 20.0 | 84% | 7.3 | 27.36 | 26 | 31.7 | 120 | 3 | 35.3 | 29.2 | 15.5 |
| Jordan Addison | 19th | WR4 | 65% | 14.7 | 59% | 4.0 | 7.55 | 18.5 | 29.7 | 5 | 1 | 19.4 | 40 | 23.1 |
| Jalen Nailor | 52nd | Outside the Top 60 | 30% | 9.5 | 62% | 3.0 | 11.32 | 19.3 | 39 | 23 | 4 | 13.2 | 55.6 | 11.8 |
| Josh Oliver (TE) | TE 40 | Outside the Top 24 | 10% | 3.4 | 54% | 1.3 | 4.72 | 9.3 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 4.4 | 50 | 6.7 |
| Johnny Mundt (TE) | TE 28 | Outside the Top 24 | 25% | 4.4 | 66% | 2.8 | 10.38 | 20.3 | 28.4 | 17 | 1 | 2.9 | 5.6 | 10.9 |
- The Vikings have allowed opposing slot receivers in the last 3 games to produce over 90 receiving yards per game.
- The Jets have allowed 1 receiver over 70 yards this season.
Thank you for reading the Fantasy Preview! For further fantasy advice, hit me up on X @CoachStevenP or on the Dynasty Nerds Discord! My content is aimed at those in the #NerdHerd wanting easily digestible information to help them win a dynasty championship.
If you enjoyed our fantasy preview, don’t miss fellow nerd Brad Custer’s Positional Matchups article released earlier this week. He has all the best offenses and defenses to target for every position:
Are you interested in joining the #NerdHerd? Use the code “coach” for 15% off any membership. Sign up here and get an edge on all of your league mates today! You can get access to the DynastyGM tool (including our Trade Calculator and new Trade Finder), the Prospect Film Room, an extra weekly podcast, full rankings, and much, much more!
Table of Contents
| Quarterbacks | |
| FP/G | Fantasy Points per Game |
| YPA | Passing Yards per Attempt |
| SCRM | QB Rush Attempts per Game |
| YDS/G | Yards Per Game |
| First Read % | Percentage of Throws to the QB’s 1st Read or Designed Throws |
| YAC % | Percentage of Passing Yards that come after the catch |
| Press % | Percentage of Dropbacks Under Pressure |
| ADOT | Average Depth of Target |
| Running Backs | |
| FP/G | Fantasy Points per Game |
| ATT/G | Attempts per Game |
| ATT % | Team Carry Share |
| TGT % | Team Target Share |
| Off. Snaps/G | Offensive Snaps per Game |
| i5 % | Percentage of Team’s Inside-the-5 Carries |
| i20 % | Percentage of Team’s Inside-the-20 Carries |
| EXP RUN % | Percentage of Runs to go for 15+ Yards |
| MTF/ATT | Missed Tackles Forced per Attempt |
| YACO/ATT | Yards After Contact per Attempt |
| YBCO/ATT | Yards Before Contact per Attempt |
| Pass Catchers | |
| FP/G | Fantasy Points per Game |
| Off. Snaps/G | Offensive Snaps Per Game |
| TGT/G | Targets Per Game |
| TGT % | Team Target Share |
| RTE/G | Routes Run Per Game |
| SLOT RTE % | Percentage of Routes Run from the Slot |
| YAC | Yards After the Catch |
| EZTGT | Endzone Targets |
| 1READ % | Percentage of Team’s 1st Read and Designed Targets |
| MAN WIN RATE | Percentage of Routes against Man Coverage with a Positive Separation Score |
| ZONE WIN RATE | Percentage of Routes against Zone Coverage with a Positive Separation Score |
