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TNF Bills v. Dolphins: Top Players You Need to Start

Week 2 is here! It's time to break down the Bills versus the Dolphins in our brand new format! Who has the best chance to shine on TNF!?

Buffalo Bills (1-0) vs Miami Dolphins (1-0)

TNF
(Photo by Mark Goldman/Icon Sportswire)

TNF Game Details

Pre Game Summary

TeamsOffensive Plays RanYards Per GamePass Yards Per GameRush Yards per GameAvg Time of Possession3rd Down CVR4th Down
CVR
Average Team Pt.TotalTurnovers
Per Game
Penalties
Per Game
Bills5835222213030:3033.3%50.8%341.09.0
Dolphins654003198133:1050.0%55.2%200.09.0

The Miami Dolphins and Buffalo Bills face off on Thursday Night Football (TNF). Look for Buffalo to continue to search for the number one target in the offense. Expect the offense to continue to run through Josh Allen. Miami has not fared well against Buffalo under the Tua Tagovailoa era. We will see if the passing game can stay on track after a fantastic Week 1. All eyes will be on the Dolphins backfield as health concerns for DeVon Achane makes him a game time decision in Week 2.

Quarterbacks

PlayerWeek 2 RankingConfidence
Start
Rating
QB vs Def RankDef Avg. Pass YardsAvg Pass AttemptsAvg Rush AttemptsFantasy Rank (6 PPT)Fantasy Points Per GameAvg. Total YardsTD:INT
Ratio
Redzone
Attempts
Josh AllenQB195%13th1622391st31.22712:04
Tua TagovailoaBorderline QB1 70%18th1623719th18.63491:04

Game Day Facts

  • Tua Tagovailoa‘s average points per game versus Buffalo (12.8) falls far below his Week 1 play of 18.6.
  • We could see more Josh Allen running as he is currently over his career average of seven carries per game.

Running Backs

PlayerWeek 2 RankingConfidence
Start Rating
RB vs Def RankDef Avg. Rush YardsDef Avg. RB Rec YardsAvg Rush AttemptsAvg Carry ShareAvg Targets ShareFantasy Rank (PPR)Fantasy Points Per GameAvg Offensive Snaps
James CookRB1 90%18th117151957.6%13.0%23rd13.361%
Ray DavisOutside Top 5010%39.1 %4.4%53rd3.710%
DeVon Achane RB 275%23rd63641024 %8.1%3rd2352%

Game Day Facts

  • Injury Report – Raheem Mostert is OUT, and DeVon Achane is a game-time decision for Thursday.
  • Look toward Jaylen Wright and Jeff Wilson as possible options if Achane & Mostert both miss Week 2. Both would be considered RB3s with upside in a favorable matchup.
  • James Cook is averaging 60% of the backfield workload, but don’t be surprised that on a short week, Ray Davis sees an increase in his three rush attempts.

Wide Receivers

PlayerWeek 2 RankingConfidence
Start Rating
WR vs Def RankDef Avg. Rec YardsAvg TargetsAvg Target ShareFantasy Rank (PPR)Fantasy Points Per GameSlot %Avg Offensive SnapsAvg Routes Run
Keon ColemanMid WR455%18th56557.6 %42nd9.10%73%26
Mack HollinsOutside Top 605 %39.1 %34th10.519%58%16
Khalil ShakirHigh End WR465%39.1 %23rd13.281%53%21
Curtis SamuelOutside Top 6025%39.1 %75th3.50%27%9
Tyreek HillWR1100%10th1421232.4 %4th2640%70%27
Jaylen WaddleLow End
WR2
100%513.51%16th16.222%72%27

Game Day Fact

  • While we still don’t know who the Bills top receivers are, Khalil Shakir‘s high slot snap % should give him a boost against Dolphins’ slot corner Kader Kohou.
  • Don’t be discouraged by Jaylen Waddle‘s low target share; he should be able to bounce back closer to the 2023 average of 23.4%.
  • Tyreek Hill has averaged 60 yards in 4 games as a member of the Dolphins against the Bills. If Hill can see more slot work against the Bills backup slot corner, he may have a dominant game.

Tight Ends

PlayerWeek 2 RankingConfidence
Start Rating
TE vs Def RankDef Avg. Rec YardsAvg TargetsAvg Target ShareFantasy Rank (PPR)Fantasy Points Per GameSlot %Avg Offensive SnapsAvg Routes Run
Dalton KincaidTE185%5th528.7 %36th2.129%84%24
Dawson KnoxOutside Top 245%28.7 %28th3.310%58%13
Jonnu SmithTE210%18th4225.4 %41th1.771%28%14

Game Day Facts

  • Don’t turn away from Dalton Kincaid after Week 1. He still played 84% of the offensive snaps and was second on the team in routes run.
  • Jonnu Smith was nonexistent in Week 1. He played third in offensive snaps among Miami tight ends. But the Bills top slot corner, Taron Johnson, is OUT. Smith played 71% of his snaps from inside the slot. If he sees more snaps, he could take advantage of the matchup.

We hope you enjoy the new format heading into Week 2. If there are stats you’d like to see moving forward, reach out or comment below. Dynasty Nerds wants to give you all the tools and information to help you win your week and will continue to make improvements during the season!

Thank you for reading! For further fantasy advice, hit me up on X @CoachStevenP or on the Dynasty Nerds Discord! My content is aimed at those in the #NerdHerd wanting easily digestible information to help them win a dynasty championship.

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