The Week 15 Thursday Preview was curated by senior staff writer Steven Pintado using statistics from the Fantasy Points Data Suite. If you want access to these stats (and dozens of other proprietary figures) sign up here and use promo code NERDS to save 25% on a Data Suite or All-In subscription. Without further ado, let’s dig in to the Week 15 Thursday Preview!
Los Angeles Rams (7-6) vs San Francisco 49ers (6-7)
Game Summary | Week 15 Thursday Preview
- Thursday Night Football: 8:15 PM
- Levi’s Stadium
- Field Type: Grass
- Weather: Clear
- San Francisco 49ers are favored (-2.5) with an Over/Under of 49.5
- Stream on Prime Video
Team | Def. Rank Vs. QBs | Def. Rank Vs. RBs | Def. Rank Vs. WRs | Def. Rank Vs. TEs | Def. 2 Man % | Def. Zone % | 1-HI Sfty% | 2-HI Sfty% | Offensive Plays Ran | Points Per Game | Pass Yards Per Game | Rush Yards per Game |
Rams | 25th | 20th | 27th | 23rd | 19.6 | 77.5 | 41.3 | 58.7 | 62 | 22.9 | 237.7 | 103 |
49ers | 12th | 22nd | 12th | 2nd | 25 | 70 | 55.5 | 44.3 | 59.9 | 23.7 | 239.6 | 138.9 |
Quarterbacks | Week 15 Thursday Preview
Los Angeles Rams | |||||||||||||
Player | Fantasy Rank (6 PPT) | Week 15 Ranking | Confidence Start Rating | FP/G | FP/G Last 4 Weeks | A/G | SCRM | YDS/G | 1 Read % | YAC % | Press % | ADOT | CHK % |
Matthew Stafford | 24th | Low QB2 | 65% | 17.6 | 25.9 | 33.8 | 1.3 | 254.9 | 70.6 | 44.9 | 26.1 | 8.2 | 5.9 |
San Francisco 49ers | |||||||||||||
Player | Fantasy Rank (6 PPT) | Week 15 Ranking | Confidence Start Rating | FP/G | FP/G Last 4 Weeks | A/G | SCRM | YDS/G | 1 Read % | YAC % | Press % | ADOT | CHK % |
Brock Purdy | 6th | Low QB1 | 92% | 20.1 | 16.2 | 29.3 | 4.8 | 276.2 | 67.9 | 40.3 | 36.4 | 9 | 7.7 |
- The last time Brock Purdy played the Rams, he threw for 292 passing yards and 3 touchdowns.
- The 49ers have allowed a 2+ passing touchdown game in 3 straight games but have kept those quarterbacks under 200 passing yards.
Running Backs | Week 15 Thursday Preview
Los Angeles Rams | |||||||||||||||
Player | Fantasy Rank (PPR) | Week 15 Ranking | Start % | FP/G | FP/G Last 4 Weeks | ATT/G | ATT % | Off. Snaps/G | TGT % | i5% | i20% | EXP Run % | MTF/ATT | YACO/ATT | YBCO/ATT |
Kyren Williams | 9th | Low RB1 | 92% | 17.1 | 15.5 | 19.3 | 74.3 | 86% | 2.2 | 0 | 25 | 2.3 | 0.14 | 1.99 | 2.18 |
Blake Corum | 90th | Outside the Top 48 | 30% | 2.1 | 3 | 4.1 | 13.3 | 12% | 1.0 | 26.3 | 14.3 | 0.11 | 1.68 | 2.32 | |
San Francisco 49ers | |||||||||||||||
Player | Fantasy Rank (PPR) | Week 15 Ranking | Start % | FP/G | FP/G Last 4 Weeks | ATT/G | ATT % | Off. Snaps/G | TGT % | i5% | i20% | EXP Run % | MTF/ATT | YACO/ATT | YBCO/ATT |
Isaac Guerendo | 55th | Mid RB3 | 25% | 5.7 | 8.9 | 4.8 | 15.2 | 19% | 2.9 | 0 | 5.9 | 9.5 | 0.21 | 2.33 | 3.52 |
Patrick Taylor | 84th | Low RB3 | 55% | 1.4 | 8.5 | 1.5 | 3.7 | 14% | 1.4 | 10.0 | 17.9 | 3.9 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
KeShawn Vaughn | 123rd | Outside the Top 48 | 30% | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 5% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 0.4 |
- The Rams have allowed at least a 70-yard rusher in 3 of the last 4 games.
- The 49ers have allowed at least a 100-yard rusher in 2 of the last 3 games.
Pass Catchers | Week 15 Thursday Preview
Los Angeles Rams | |||||||||||||||
Player | Fantasy Rank (PPR) | Week 15 Ranking | Start % | FP/G | FP/G Last 4 Weeks | Off. Snaps/G | TGT/G | TGT % | RTE/G | SLOT RTE % | YAC | EZTGT | 1READ % | MAN WIN RATE | ZONE WIN RATE |
Cooper Kupp | 4th | High WR2 | 89% | 18.4 | 18.4 | 81% | 10.2 | 27.8 | 30.6 | 66.5 | 263 | 8 | 35.1 | 24 | 11 |
Puka Nacua | 3rd | High WR1 | 97% | 19.0 | 26.3 | 64% | 9.4 | 5.3 | 14.2 | 69 | 8 | 1 | 6.5 | 26.3 | 3.9 |
Demarcus Robinson | 62nd | Outside the Top 60 | 48% | 8.7 | 6.6 | 82% | 4.1 | 11.8 | 28.6 | 33.9 | 55 | 11 | 12.9 | 34.7 | 9.3 |
Tutu Atwell | 83rd | Outside the Top 60 | 40% | 6.6 | 5.6 | 41% | 3.8 | 9.6 | 15.3 | 35.3 | 118 | 4 | 12.3 | 40.5 | 6 |
Cobly Parkinson (TE) | TE37 | Outside the Top 24 | 15% | 4.6 | 3.8 | 59% | 3.2 | 9.1 | 19.2 | 20 | 147 | 4 | 7.7 | 18.7 | 4.5 |
San Francisco 49ers | |||||||||||||||
Player | Fantasy Rank (PPR) | Week 15 Ranking | Start % | FP/G | FP/G Last 4 Weeks | Off. Snaps/G | TGT/G | TGT % | RTE/G | SLOT RTE % | YAC | EZTGT | 1READ % | MAN WIN RATE | ZONE WIN RATE |
Deebo Samuel | 51st | High WR4 | 67% | 9.5 | 4.7 | 71% | 5.3 | 18.1 | 25.2 | 34.4 | 308 | 1 | 22.8 | 17.6 | 8.9 |
Jauan Jennings | 14th | Mid WR2 | 85% | 15.5 | 17.7 | 73% | 7.1 | 23.3 | 24.8 | 46.9 | 206 | 7 | 29 | 34.2 | 16.6 |
Ricky Pearsall | 96th | Outside the Top 60 | 25% | 5.1 | 0.4 | 64% | 2.9 | 15.6 | 31.1 | 45.3 | 307 | 2 | 15.6 | 19 | 5.2 |
George Kittle (TE) | TE1 | High TE1 | 96% | 16.7 | 14.3 | 89% | 6.1 | 6.3 | 13.5 | 22.3 | 79 | 6 | 6.7 | 13 | 2.9 |
- The Rams have allowed an opposing WR1 to produce at least 70 yards and a touchdown in 3 of the last 4 games.
- Los Angeles has not allowed an opposing TE to score a touchdown in 6 straight games.
- The 49ers have allowed a receiving touchdown to a receiver in 3 consecutive games.
- The 49ers have not allowed a TE1 in 7 straight games.
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Glossary of Terms | Week 15 Thursday Preview
Quarterbacks | |
FP/G | Fantasy Points per Game |
YPA | Passing Yards per Attempt |
SCRM | QB Rush Attempts per Game |
YDS/G | Yards Per Game |
First Read % | Percentage of Throws to the QB’s 1st Read or Designed Throws |
YAC % | Percentage of Passing Yards that come after the catch |
Press % | Percentage of Dropbacks Under Pressure |
ADOT | Average Depth of Target |
Running Backs | |
FP/G | Fantasy Points per Game |
ATT/G | Attempts per Game |
ATT % | Team Carry Share |
TGT % | Team Target Share |
Off. Snaps/G | Offensive Snaps per Game |
i5 % | Percentage of Team’s Inside-the-5 Carries |
i20 % | Percentage of Team’s Inside-the-20 Carries |
EXP RUN % | Percentage of Runs to go for 15+ Yards |
MTF/ATT | Missed Tackles Forced per Attempt |
YACO/ATT | Yards After Contact per Attempt |
YBCO/ATT | Yards Before Contact per Attempt |
Pass Catchers | |
FP/G | Fantasy Points per Game |
Off. Snaps/G | Offensive Snaps Per Game |
TGT/G | Targets Per Game |
TGT % | Team Target Share |
RTE/G | Routes Run Per Game |
SLOT RTE % | Percentage of Routes Run from the Slot |
YAC | Yards After the Catch |
EZTGT | Endzone Targets |
1READ % | Percentage of Team’s 1st Read and Designed Targets |
MAN WIN RATE | Percentage of Routes against Man Coverage with a Positive Separation Score |
ZONE WIN RATE | Percentage of Routes against Zone Coverage with a Positive Separation Score |
Matchup Score | A weighted score taking into account league average CB play vs. the totality of the CBs a WR is slated to face in a given matchup + how much we expect him to face each CB individually, not just the one he will see the most |
Advantage Score | A weighted score taking into account the skill gap between a WR and the totality of CBs he’s expected to face. A player of high caliber may have a poor matchup score but still have a strong advantage score and vice versa. |