The Week 14 Thursday Preview was curated by senior staff writer Steven Pintado using statistics from the Fantasy Points Data Suite. If you want access to these stats (and dozens of other proprietary figures) sign up here and use promo code NERDS to save 25% on a Data Suite or All-In subscription. Without further ado, let’s dig in to the Week 14 Thursday Preview!
Green Bay Packers (9-3) vs Detroit Lions (11-1)
Game Summary | Week 14 Thursday Preview
- Thursday Night Football: 8:15 PM
- Ford Field
- Field Type: Turf
- Weather: Indoors
- Detriot Lions are favored (-3) with an Over/Under of 51.5
- Stream on Prime Video
| Team | Def. Rank Vs. QBs | Def. Rank Vs. RBs | Def. Rank Vs. WRs | Def. Rank Vs. TEs | Def. 2 Man % | Def. Zone % | 1-HI Sfty% | 2-HI Sfty% | Offensive Plays Ran | Points Per Game | Pass Yards Per Game | Rush Yards per Game |
| Packers | 5th | 13th | 6th | 23rd | 21.1 | 75.6 | 51.6 | 48.4 | 61.2 | 26.5 | 233.9 | 148.5 |
| Lions | 6th | 3rd | 24th | 1st | 44.9 | 49.8 | 56.5 | 43.3 | 63.8 | 31.9 | 240.8 | 154.4 |
Quarterbacks | Week 14 Thursday Preview
| Green Bay Packers | |||||||||||||
| Player | Fantasy Rank (6 PPT) | Week 14 Ranking | Confidence Start Rating | FP/G | FP/G Last 4 Weeks | A/G | SCRM | YDS/G | 1 Read % | YAC % | Press % | ADOT | CHK % |
| Jordan Love | 10th | Mid QB1 | 94% | 21.0 | 21.3 | 30.8 | 1.8 | 256.6 | 67.5 | 50.2 | 30.8 | 9.3 | 10.7 |
| Detriot Lions | |||||||||||||
| Player | Fantasy Rank (6 PPT) | Week 14 Ranking | Confidence Start Rating | FP/G | FP/G Last 4 Weeks | A/G | SCRM | YDS/G | 1 Read % | YAC % | Press % | ADOT | CHK % |
| Jared Goff | 9th | Low QB1 | 90% | 20.8 | 21.5 | 28.3 | 2.1 | 251.8 | 68.8 | 58.1 | 27.1 | 7.5 | 10.3 |
- Since Week 5, the Packers have only allowed 2 QB1 finishes.
- The Lions have allowed 250 passing yards ore more in 4 of the last 7 games.
Running Backs | Week 14 Thursday Preview
| Green Bay Packers | |||||||||||||||
| Player | Fantasy Rank (PPR) | Week 14 Ranking | Start % | FP/G | FP/G Last 4 Weeks | ATT/G | ATT % | Off. Snaps/G | TGT % | i5% | i20% | EXP Run % | MTF/ATT | YACO/ATT | YBCO/ATT |
| Josh Jacobs | 9th | Low RB1 | 91% | 17.0 | 24.6 | 18.4 | 59.4 | 67% | 9.2 | 75 | 57.1 | 3.6 | 0.21 | 2.7 | 1.77 |
| Emanuel Wilson | 59th | Outside the Top 48 | 30% | 4.9 | 2.6 | 5.7 | 18.3 | 23% | 3.2 | 5 | 11.4 | 7.4 | 0.13 | 2.72 | 2.16 |
| Chris Brooks | 79th | Outside the Top 48 | 42% | 3.0 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 5.4 | 21% | 4.6 | 0.0 | 12.5 | 5.0 | 0.3 | 3.2 | 1.5 |
| Detroit Lions | |||||||||||||||
| Player | Fantasy Rank (PPR) | Week 14 Ranking | Start % | FP/G | FP/G Last 4 Weeks | ATT/G | ATT % | Off. Snaps/G | TGT % | i5% | i20% | EXP Run % | MTF/ATT | YACO/ATT | YBCO/ATT |
| David Montgomery | 12th | High RB2 | 88% | 16.2 | 17.2 | 13.8 | 42.7 | 43% | 8.2 | 52 | 52.4 | 3 | 0.19 | 2.5 | 1.84 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 6th | Mid RB1 | 95% | 18.1 | 16.9 | 13.6 | 41.9 | 52% | 9.7 | 44 | 36.9 | 11.7 | 0.25 | 2.39 | 3.58 |
- The Packers have allowed at least 60 all-purpose yards to a running back in 6 straight games.
- The Lions have not allowed an RB over 50 rushing yards in 4 consecutive games.
Pass Catchers | Week 14 Thursday Preview
| Green Bay Packers | ||||||||||||||||||
| Player | Fantasy Rank (PPR) | Week 14 Ranking | Start % | FP/G | FP/G Last 4 Weeks | Off. Snaps/G | TGT/G | TGT % | RTE/G | SLOT RTE % | YAC | EZTGT | 1READ % | MAN WIN RATE | ZONE WIN RATE | Matchup | Advantage | Defender |
| Christian Watson | 76th | Mid WR4 | 66% | 7.4 | 9.4 | 59% | 3.5 | 11.5 | 16.4 | 26.1 | 109 | 6 | 13.5 | 32.7 | 16.7 | 0.00 | 1.18 | Terrion Arnold |
| Romeo Doubs | 52nd | 9.4 | 5.6 | 79% | 5.3 | 18.1 | 24.9 | 13.3 | 103 | 4 | 22.9 | 30.9 | 18.3 | |||||
| Jayden Reed | 22nd | Mid WR2 | 85% | 14.0 | 11.7 | 56% | 4.8 | 16.7 | 22.3 | 78.7 | 339 | 3 | 21.8 | 25.7 | 8.4 | 0.01 | 1.39 | Amik Robertson |
| Dontayvion Wicks | 90th | Low WR5 | 53% | 5.8 | 5.2 | 51% | 4.3 | 14.4 | 14.1 | 29 | 84 | 7 | 16.9 | 38.5 | 17.6 | 0.01 | 1.29 | Carlton Davis |
| Tucker Kraft (TE) | TE12 | High TE2 | 74% | 10.0 | 8.1 | 80% | 3.9 | 12.7 | 22.8 | 32.6 | 356 | 1 | 11.9 | 5.9 | 3.1 | |||
| Detriot Lions | ||||||||||||||||||
| Player | Fantasy Rank (PPR) | Week 14 Ranking | Start % | FP/G | FP/G Last 4 Weeks | Off. Snaps/G | TGT/G | TGT % | RTE/G | SLOT RTE % | YAC | EZTGT | 1READ % | MAN WIN RATE | ZONE WIN RATE | Matchup | Advantage | Defender |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 5th | Mid WR1 | 95% | 18.0 | 20.3 | 90% | 7.8 | 26.1 | 27.1 | 51.4 | 282 | 6 | 31.4 | 27.4 | 17.2 | -0.01 | 1.56 | Javon Bullard |
| Jameson Williams | 36th | Mid WR3 | 74% | 12.7 | 13.1 | 79% | 5.5 | 17.7 | 27.1 | 33.2 | 303 | 4 | 24.1 | 20 | 19.7 | 0.01 | 1.20 | Eric Stokes |
| Tim Patrick | 100th | Outside the Top 60 | 35% | 4.7 | 5.5 | 56% | 2.4 | 8.3 | 16 | 20.5 | 115 | 1 | 8.5 | 14.9 | 8.5 | 0.02 | 0.96 | Keisean Nixon |
| Sam LaPorta (TE) | TE16 | Mid TE1 | 86% | 9.1 | 12.0 | 81% | 4.0 | 12.9 | 21.7 | 25.9 | 209 | 5 | 13.3 | 17.8 | 8.7 | |||
- Since Week 5, the Packers have allowed only 1 WR over 65 yards.
- The Packers have allowed a TE1 in back-to-back games.
- The Lions have allowed an opposing WR1 at least 70 receiving yards in 9 straight games.
- The Lions have allowed just 1 TE over 40 yards in the last 8 games.
More Dynasty Content
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Glossary of Terms | Week 14 Thursday Preview
| Quarterbacks | |
| FP/G | Fantasy Points per Game |
| YPA | Passing Yards per Attempt |
| SCRM | QB Rush Attempts per Game |
| YDS/G | Yards Per Game |
| First Read % | Percentage of Throws to the QB’s 1st Read or Designed Throws |
| YAC % | Percentage of Passing Yards that come after the catch |
| Press % | Percentage of Dropbacks Under Pressure |
| ADOT | Average Depth of Target |
| Running Backs | |
| FP/G | Fantasy Points per Game |
| ATT/G | Attempts per Game |
| ATT % | Team Carry Share |
| TGT % | Team Target Share |
| Off. Snaps/G | Offensive Snaps per Game |
| i5 % | Percentage of Team’s Inside-the-5 Carries |
| i20 % | Percentage of Team’s Inside-the-20 Carries |
| EXP RUN % | Percentage of Runs to go for 15+ Yards |
| MTF/ATT | Missed Tackles Forced per Attempt |
| YACO/ATT | Yards After Contact per Attempt |
| YBCO/ATT | Yards Before Contact per Attempt |
| Pass Catchers | |
| FP/G | Fantasy Points per Game |
| Off. Snaps/G | Offensive Snaps Per Game |
| TGT/G | Targets Per Game |
| TGT % | Team Target Share |
| RTE/G | Routes Run Per Game |
| SLOT RTE % | Percentage of Routes Run from the Slot |
| YAC | Yards After the Catch |
| EZTGT | Endzone Targets |
| 1READ % | Percentage of Team’s 1st Read and Designed Targets |
| MAN WIN RATE | Percentage of Routes against Man Coverage with a Positive Separation Score |
| ZONE WIN RATE | Percentage of Routes against Zone Coverage with a Positive Separation Score |
| Matchup Score | A weighted score taking into account league average CB play vs. the totality of the CBs a WR is slated to face in a given matchup + how much we expect him to face each CB individually, not just the one he will see the most |
| Advantage Score | A weighted score taking into account the skill gap between a WR and the totality of CBs he’s expected to face. A player of high caliber may have a poor matchup score but still have a strong advantage score and vice versa. |
