First and foremost, Happy Thanksgiving weekend to all who celebrate! It is quite astounding to me how quickly this fantasy season has gone! We say that every year and this season is no different!
The Scott Fish Bowl playoffs are already here, and our normal fantasy playoffs are only a hop, skip, and jump away! This week is a bit wacky with the Thanksgiving games, so let’s hop into a quick recap of last week before we dive into this week’s picks.
Week 11 Hits
DJ Moore, WR CHI
It was happier times for DJ Moore managers, though not for Chicago Bears fans. Moore finished as the WR6 on the week with 7 receptions for 96 yards and a touchdown. It is nice to see Moore getting the volume he so richly deserves after all these years! As long as FIelds is healthy, Moore should be an every-week starter for you.
Nico Collins, WR HOU
Nico did not turn in a DJ Moore-level performance but he did not leave you hanging either. Collins turned in 7 receptions for 65 yards but, sadly, no touchdown. A 13.5-point outing is not too shabby in your flex, so we can’t complain too much. Even nicer than the 7 receptions is 11 targets and playing for 76% of snaps on his first game back from injury! It looks like wheels up for Nico!
Chuba Hubbard, RB CAR
The week went as I feared it might for both Carolina and Chuba Hubbard. The Dallas Cowboys comfortably handled the Panthers and made for tough sledding in the run game. Hubbard only had 10 rush attempts for 57 yards with 2 receptions for an additional 8 yards. A meager fantasy outing indeed. Even more worrying is that he split duties with Miles Sanders nearly 50/50. A split backfield in a terrible offense is not a recipe for fantasy success. The Tennessee Titans are on the docket for Week 12, so I would let Hubbard ride the bench this week while you figure things out longer term.
Gabe Davis, WR BUF
Honestly, if you had told me Buffalo would beat the Jets 32-6, Gabe Davis would not have a single target, I would have done my best Anchorman impression. “I don’t believe you.” It’s hard to fathom how those two things coincide in the same week, but here we are! I feel like this almost perfectly encapsulates not only Davis’s career but also the 2023 fantasy season. Of course, after the sheer disappointment and pain, he has put all his fantasy managers through, he is sure to come out and drop 200 yards and 3 touchdowns while on every fantasy bench.
Week 11 Misses
Jordan Addison, WR MIN
Sadly, Addison (much like my beloved Minnesota Vikings) came up just short in Week 11. A slight dip in performance and opportunity led to 3 receptions for 44 yards in his performance against the Denver Broncos. He was on the field for 95% of snaps, and with Justin Jefferson hopefully back this week, it could mean a nice little boost for Addison’s fantasy value.
Tyjae Spears, RB TEN
It wasn’t just Spears who struggled against division rival Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday. The entire Titans offense struggled mightily, which had a knock-on effect on the rookie. He only rushed 4 times and only received 2 targets. I don’t think it is a skill issue with Spears. I think the Titans are just such a mess at the moment on offense you can’t trust him as things stand.
Recap
A fairly solid outing in Week 11 brings the yearly total to 32 hits and 27 misses. A 54% hit rate doesn’t sound like much, but honestly, the way this season is going, I don’t hate it as much as you would think! I will keep grinding and hope to get the margin over 60% by the end of the fantasy season!
As a reminder, I am using the FantasyPros Expert Consensus Ranking (ECR) as my guidelines each week. I will be picking wide receivers and running backs outside their top 24 to discuss. I will give a couple I like and maybe one or two I don’t and brief reasons. Hopefully, these studs give you more than 10 PPR points and will all end up in next week’s “hits” section!
Let’s have a look at this week’s picks.
Week 12
Zach Charbonnet, RB SEA (RB26) ⬆️
I don’t believe I have mentioned Mr. Charbonnet even once this year in the flex article. With the unfortunate injury to Kenneth Walker in last week’s ultimate loss to the Los Angeles Rams, I think Zach could be a decent volume-dependent option for you in week 12. The matchup against the San Francisco 49ers is unfortunate, but his involvement in the passing game is promising. Given the state of injuries and backfields being what they are, if you have Zach, you are probably plugging him in and enjoying a little Charbonnet Sauvignon with your Turkey this Thanksgiving.
Devin Singletary, RB HOU (RB24) ⬆️
Singletary has stepped in and looked impressive these last couple of weeks with Dameon Pierce injured. It is unclear yet whether Pierce will be back for Week 12, but honestly, I would probably still risk throwing Singletary into the lineup regardless. At this point in the fantasy season, you want to roll with the hot hand, especially at the running back position. The Jaguars are not the easiest opponent in the world, but with how CJ Stroud has been playing, Singletary offers a fair bit of upside in this divisional clash.
Brian Robinson Jr., RB WAS (RB27) ⬆️
The matchup is not good. That is very much true. The Dallas Cowboys are no joke defensively this year. However, Robinson has had 6 and 9 targets in the last two weeks, respectively. (NOICE). Even if he doesn’t have a good game on the ground, I think he could get enough work in the passing game to make it worth your while throwing him in the lineup. He is RB4 on the season, after all!
Zay Flowers, WR BAL (WR25) ⬆️
It has been a relatively quiet couple of weeks for the exciting rookie playmaker in Baltimore. The unfortunate injury to Mark Andrews does make me wonder if more opportunity is in store for Flowers in week 12. The Los Angeles Chargers are an incredibly generous defense to fantasy wide receivers, so it is a bet worth making this Thanksgiving weekend. When I say incredibly generous, the Chargers are bottom five in fantasy points allowed, yardage allowed, touchdowns allowed, and yards per reception.
Demario Douglas, WR NE (WR38) ⬆️
What sort of Thanksgiving weekend article would this be if I did not recommend starting at least one Patriot?! If you start a Patriot, Douglas has to be your man. Ever since Kendrick Bourne went down with a season-ending injury, Demario has stepped up big time in the lackluster Patriots offense. Douglas had back-to-back weeks with 7 targets, then topped that with 9 targets before the team’s bye week in Week 11. The New York Giants are about as bad as the Los Angeles Chargers on the season against fantasy wide receivers so if you are hurting at the position, it could be a sneaky play in Week 12.
Romeo Doubs, WR GB (WR46) ⬆️
Last but not least is Mr Doubs. The Green .Bay Packers’ receiving corps is pretty banged up at the minute. Jayden Reed has been struggling with a chest injury he picked up in last Sunday’s win against the Chargers. It feels like Watson has been on and off the injury report all season. Now, Dontayvion Wicks, Luke Musgrave, and Josiah Deguara are all DNPs in practice so far this week. Doubs is in a nice spot against the Detroit Lions, who should certainly put up some points against the Packers. The volume should be there in theory. If only because of a lack of healthy weapons for Jordan Love.
Conclusion
It is an early article this week due to the holiday weekend. I hope it gave you some food for thought while you are munching your way to another week of wins! I hope you manage to avoid the injury bug and make the right lineup decisions in all your leagues! Most importantly, I hope you have some time with friends and family and lose track of all the amazing things you have to be thankful for!
If you want to chat fantasy football, you can always find me on X / Twitter @FFEvanlution. You can also check out my year-round dynasty fantasy football podcast (@DynastyDebates) on all major podcast listening platforms!
