Dallas Cowboys' CeeDee Lamb

Interesting Statistics for Wide Receivers Facing Their Division: Part 1

As we continue this divisional article, we look at the wide receivers in a two-part series. We dive into the numbers of how these veterans fared against their division foes over the past 3+ seasons.

This article dives deep into some interesting statistics that may not always be mentioned when discussing a player, but they’re interesting to know. We will talk about wide receivers who play their division six times throughout the season. A statistic in this category can be crucial since they impact a third of their games.

These 10 veteran wide receivers have played in their division for 3+ seasons. We will discuss some trends we can feel confident in with these wide receivers.

This is a two-part series, go check out the other 10 receivers here!

Ja’Marr Chase – CIN

TeamsGTgtRecYdsY/RTDCtch%FPs (3 Years)
Baltimore Ravens610.06.284.213.70.562%14.5
Cleveland Browns59.45.450.49.30.257%9.1
Pittsburgh Steelers47.55.378.515.00.870%15.0

Starting with the Ravens, Ja’Marr Chase has produced the most yards per game against them. He usually gets a big workload in the offense in those games. Chase had a 200-yard game against the Ravens in 2021, but since then has not been elite. In the last two games in Baltimore, Chase has struggled to produce. He has a combined eight fantasy points in those games. Chase was under 10 fantasy points in 3 of his last 4 games against the Ravens. There’s hope that a healthy Joe Burrow will bring Chase back to his 2021 numbers.

Surprisingly, Chase hasn’t done all that great against the Browns the last three years. Chase has been under 10 fantasy points in 4 of his 5 career games. Hopefully, having Burrow back will change Chase’s luck against the Browns. The issue is that Cleveland has an elite defense and continues to cause problems for the Bengals’ wide receivers. 

The Steelers are the team Chase has played the least in his career. He has performed the best versus the Steelers, averaging 15 fantasy points. He also has a 70 percent catch rate, which is impressive on 28 targets. When Chase has at least five targets, he produces against the Steelers. Chase should continue to shine against Pittsburgh as I’d expect more competitive, high-scoring games in 2024.

Tee Higgins – CIN

TeamsGTgtRecYdsY/RTDCtch%FPs (3 Years)
Baltimore Ravens78.04.659.112.940.657.1%18.3
Cleveland Browns65.52.838.813.710.351.5%7.7
Pittsburgh Steelers67.75.395.817.970.569.6%16.5

We stick with the Bengals with wide receiver Tee Higgins. He seems to do well against the division. Higgins has figured out how to beat the Ravens on the field. It’s not as consistent as you may think, tho. Higgins has only played the Ravens four times in the last three years. He has 2 games over 24 fantasy points. Higgins has double-digit targets in three of the previous four games. He can do well in those matchups. Even in 2023, Higgins dominated the Ravens with 89 yards and 2 touchdowns. Higgins is frustrating at times, but he can produce against the Ravens.

Photo Courtesy of Ian Johnson/Icon Sportswire

Just like Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins struggles against the Cleveland Browns. He averages under 40 yards per game. He has only played against the Browns three times in the last three years. In 2 games, he did have 10 and 12 fantasy points. Unfortunately, in Week 1 last year, he had eight targets with no production. It may still be a mystery if Higgins can produce in fantasy, but I wouldn’t hold much faith in him being able to produce versus the Browns.

However, Tee Higgins averages close to 95 receiving yards and 0.5 touchdowns per game versus Pittsburgh. In their last 4 starts against the Steelers, he scored over 20 fantasy points in 3 contests. The one time he didn’t is when he only played 26 percent of the offensive snaps in Week 1 of the 2022 season. As long as Higgins is healthy, he should continue to produce against the Steelers.

Courtland Sutton – DEN

ValueGTgtRecYdsY/RTDCtch%FPs (3 Years)
Las Vegas Raiders107.44.553.912.00.460.80%10.1
Kansas City Chiefs95.83.249.115.20.255.80%6.6
Los Angeles Chargers94.82.850.618.20.658.10%7.4

Courtland Sutton has one of the worst game averages against his division. He has been over 10 fantasy points in 4 of his last 6 games against the Raiders. His Week 18 in 2023, where he had 0.7 fantasy points, lowered his fantasy point average considerably. It’s hard to judge a player in Week 18 for several reasons. Sutton seems to average more targets when playing in Las Vegas, where he should continue to play well in 2024 against a rebuilding Raiders defense.

The Chiefs have been the team Sutton has struggled against most in fantasy production. While he did better in 2023 with 12 and 9 fantasy points, overall, it has not been great. His other three games were under six fantasy points, as that was due to bad quarterback play. The question is whether this new group helps Sutton or will we see more poor performances? It seems to be leaning the wrong way as the Chiefs’ secondary continues to be great despite losing L’Jarius Snead in free agency. Sutton is a player to steer clear of against KC.

The Chargers have also done well at stopping Sutton. He only averages three receptions per game for a lowly 7.4 fantasy points. He has been under 10 fantasy points in 3 of the last 5 games. His best game was only 13.7 fantasy points. Sutton isn’t getting the targets to perform (under five per game). He looks like a deep threat with limited opportunities in games against the Chargers.

CeeDee Lamb – DAL

TeamsGTgtRecYdsY/RTDCtch%FPs (3 Years)
New York Giants89.36.590.313.90.470.3%17.0
Philadelphia Eagles87.85.581.614.80.571.0%15.9
Washington Commanders88.05.556.010.20.668.8%15.7

We move over to CeeDee Lamb who has had a fantastic career against his division. The Giants have been a team that Lamb dominates against. He averages 90 yards per game and has a high catch rate against the New York secondary. He has been over 13 fantasy points in 4 of the last 6 games. The only times he didn’t were blowout wins in Week 1 of 2021 and 2023. Both games were away games, but I wouldn’t let that stop you. Lamb at home is an auto start, averaging 21 fantasy points.

The Eagles are another team in the division that Lamb plays well against. Lamb has stepped up against the Eagles the last two years, averaging over 10 fantasy points. In 2023, he was over 15 fantasy points in both games. Lamb should continue to be elite against a young Eagles secondary.

Surprisingly enough, Lamb has done the worst against the Commanders but still averages 15 fantasy points. He averages under 60 yards per game but has the highest per-game touchdown rate (0.6). Lamb has been over 10 fantasy points in each of the last 5 games. He hasn’t broken 100 yards in any of the previous 6 games, but has scored 5 touchdowns. Lamb should continue to play well in 2024 against the Commanders and the rest of the division. No one seems to have an answer for Lamb’s production.

Amon-Ra St. Brown – DET

TeamsGTgtRecYdsY/RTDCtch%FPs (3 Years)
Chicago Bears67.85.862.01.80.274.5%10.2
Green Bay Packers68.55.863.71.80.368.6%11.5
Minnesota Vikings610.38.090.31.90.577.4 % 16.2

St. Brown has done decent against the NFC North since his time in the league. The Bears have been the team he has done the least against. Despite an outstanding catch rate, he averages only 62 yards and a low touchdown rate. Since joining the league, St. Brown has only been over 10 fantasy points twice against the Bears. In 2021, St. Brown played the Bears twice before he broke out in the final six games. Last year, he would have a 17-point game at home and a 3-point game in Chicago. The Lions have blown out the Bears at times, so St. Brown’s services may not have been needed as much. 

Photo Courtesy of Scott W. Grau/Icon Sportswire

Next up is the Packers, against whom St. Brown has done a little better. His catch rate drops, but his yards per game pick up just slightly. Since his 2021 breakout stretch, Amon-Ra St. Brown has played well against the Packers. In 2022, he would do decent, but had no touchdowns. Last year, St. Brown was able to average 14 fantasy points in both games against the Packers. He is improving as he grows as a player.

The team that Amon-Ra St. Brown has done very well against is the Vikings. He averages close to 100 yards for about 16 fantasy points per game. St. Brown has averaged 10 fantasy points in each game versus the Vikings. Last year, he crushed them with 100 yards and a touchdown in both games. The Vikings’ secondary over the years has shown holes, allowing St. Brown to thrive in fantasy football. Place your bets when St. Brown plays the Vikings in 2024.

Michael Pittman Jr. – IND

TeamsGTgtRecYdsY/RTDCtch%FPs (3 Years)
Houston Texans86.95.053.51.30.372.7%11.4
Jacksonville Jaguars78.16.473.31.60.378.9%16
Tennessee Titans810.36.366.11.30.461.0%13.2

Michael Pittman Jr. has succeeded in the AFC South as a reliable option. The Texans have been the team Pittman has done the least against, averaging the fewest yards and fantasy points. Pittman has been 50/50 in fantasy with three good and three poor games. He does better playing in Houston than he does in Indianapolis, averaging 15 fantasy points compared to 7 at home.

The Jaguars are the team in the division that Pittman thrives against. He averages the most yards and has the highest catch rate. Pittman had over 15 fantasy points in 4 of the last 5 games he has played the Jaguars. Pittman’s lowest game was a 9.8-point finish. In his last 2 home games versus the Jaguars, he scored 19 fantasy points. Pittman should continue to thrive against the Jaguars in fantasy. 

The Titans are a decent team that Pittman has done well against. He has his lowest catch rate but finishes with an average of 13 fantasy points. Pittman has done well when he sees at least nine targets in a game. He had fewer than seven fantasy points in two games. The 2024 season will tell a lot if Pittman can continue to dominate his division with Anthony Richardson at quarterback. 

Nico Collins – HOU

TeamsGTgtRecYdsY/RTDCtch%FPs (3 Years)
Indianapolis Colts55.64.482.218.70.478.6%12.8
Jacksonville Jaguars55.03.244.814.00.264.0%7.3
Tennessee Titans35.73.752.014.20.064.7%7.3

We are still within the AFC South but moving to Nico Collins. He hasn’t played his division too much over his three years in the league. The Colts have been the team Collins has thrived against in fantasy. He averages 12.8 fantasy points, thanks to an average of 82 yards. Most of Collins’ production only came in 2023. In 2022 & 2021, he has 10 combined fantasy points in 3 games. It wasn’t until CJ Stroud that Collins was unlocked for fantasy. Nico Collins would end up producing 24+ fantasy points in both games last year. Hopefully, this is a sign of more things to come for the fourth-year receiver. 

Photo Courtesy of Leslie Plaza Johnson/Icon Sportswire

The Jaguars have been a team that Collins has struggled against with an average of 7.3 fantasy points. He has his lowest yardage and catch rate against Jacksonville. Collins has been under 10 fantasy points in 4 of the 5 games. It’s hard to take Collins seriously since his first two years in the league were with bad quarterback play. Last season, Collins split between good and bad games in the series. He had a game where he had over 100 yards and a touchdown.

Collins has only played the Titans three times in his career. He missed one game in 2023 and both in 2022. Collin’s numbers are low for fantasy points since he hasn’t scored a touchdown against the Titans yet. He has gone over 60 yards in the last 2 games versus the Titans. Hopefully, with this improved offense, we can see Collins raise this number.

Joshua Palmer – LAC

TeamsGTgtRecYdsY/RTDCtch%FPs (3 Years)
Denver Broncos46.34.534.31.90.072.0%5.7
Kansas City Chiefs66.04.054.72.30.566.7%11.9
Las Vegas Raiders66.03.550.02.40.358.3%10.6

Palmer is finally getting a shot in the starting lineup this season. He was out for injury in both games versus the Broncos last year. In Week 6 of 2022, Palmer had 9 receptions on 12 targets for 57 yards. We could see similar numbers in 2024 from Palmer. His other games as the backup were low production, but he has one of the best catch rates versus the Broncos.

The Chiefs have been a team where Palmer has his best production with 54 yards and 0.5 touchdowns per game. His fantasy points are the highest among any other team in the division. Over the last two years, Palmer has put up great numbers against the Chiefs. He has 11 or more fantasy points in 3 of his last 4 games. He was playing as the starter when Mike Williams dealt with injuries. Palmer either showed the ability to step up, or the Chargers always score highly against the Chiefs.

The Raiders have been a team Palmer has done solid against. He does better playing on the road against the Raiders. He has posted 13 fantasy points on the road. At home, he averaged just six fantasy points, but Palmer may have only been the third receiver in those games compared to being the second receiver in the away games. Palmer has posted nine or more fantasy points in four of his last five games against the Raiders.

Cooper Kupp – LAR

TeamsGTgtRecYdsY/RTDCtch%FPs (3 Years)
Arizona Cardinals128.35.967.911.480.471.0%12.9
San Francisco 49ers98.66.162.010.150.371.4%19.7
Seattle Seahawks118.15.464.612.050.566.3%14.8

Cooper Kupp has posted great numbers against this division. The Cardinals have given up the fewest fantasy points per game to Kupp over the last three years. He has more yards against Arizona than any other division opponent. Kupp has posted under 10 fantasy points for his receiving ability in 4 of the last 6 games. In one game, he scored a rushing touchdown, which would be three of six, but we can’t count on rushing upside. If Kupp is healthy, he should be able to bounce back to form. I’m not overly concerned with this matchup.

Photo Courtesy of Jevone Moore/Icon Sportswire

The San Francisco 49ers have allowed Kupp in fantasy to go crazy in the last three years. Unfortunately, we did not see Kupp play the 49ers in 2023 due to injuries. In the prior 2 years, he posted more than 17 fantasy points in each of the last 4 games. Kupp was on an elite level then, so hopefully he can keep up the production in 2024.

Seattle has been a decent matchup for Kupp over the years. He does post his highest yards per reception (YPR) among the division foes. For fantasy, we have only seen Kupp play Seattle three times in the last three seasons. He did not play them in 2022 due to injury. He barely played Seattle once in 2023, as he would only play 18 percent of the snaps in that game. We’d have to look back to 2021, where Kupp posted strong games both times against Seattle. In 2024, we will be interested to see if Kupp can return to form.

Jaylen Waddle – MIA

TeamsGTgtRecYdsY/RTDCtch%FPs (3 Years)
Buffalo Bills57.44.267.816.10.256.8%10.3
New England Patriots66.74.569.315.40.767.5%13.3
New York Jets57.06.477.612.10.291.4%13.4

Jaylen Waddle has done decent against the AFC East in his career. He has posted some wild numbers we should dive into. Starting with the Bills, Waddle posted his fewest points against them. He also averaged the fewest yards and had a lousy catch rate of 56.8 percent. Waddle has been under 10 fantasy points in 3 of his 5 games against Buffalo. In 2022, he would post great numbers as that offense clicked for fantasy. In 2021 and 2023, he would have high targets but low production. Hopefully, as the Bills defense weakens and Waddle stays healthy, he can post better numbers.

Next up is the Patriots, who Waddle has posted better numbers but his fewest targets. He is more of a home-and-away player with the Patriots. In away games, Waddle posted around 10 fantasy points per game. At Hard Rock, Waddle jumps to 15.1 fantasy points per game. Playing at home in Miami seemingly gives Waddle the boost to step up versus the Patriots.

Jaylen Waddle’s best production comes from the Jets with 13.4 fantasy points per game. He posts his highest yard average of 77 and a crazy high catch rate of 91.4 percent. Waddle has 15 or more fantasy points in 3 of his 5 games against the Jets. Anytime Waddle has nine or more targets, he can produce against the Jets. It has helped that Waddle did not have Hill on the field in two of those three games, however. Jaylen Waddle should continue to post great numbers as long as this offense clicks.

Thank you for reading! For further fantasy advice, hit me up on X @CoachStevenP or on the Dynasty Nerds Discord! My content is aimed for those in the #NerdHerd wanting easily-digestible information to help them win a dynasty championship.

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