MNF FANTASY PREVIEW for Week 6: EXPLOIT THE MATCHUP

The Week 6 Fantasy Preview for Monday Night Football was curated by senior staff writer Steven Pintado using statistics from the Fantasy Points Data Suite. If you want access to these stats (and dozens of other proprietary figures) sign up here and use promo code NERDS to save 25% on a Data Suite or All-In subscription. Without further ado, let’s dig in to the MNF fantasy preview!

Buffalo Bills (3-2) vs New York Jets (2-3)

Game Summary | MNF Fantasy Preview

• Monday Night Football: 8:20 PM
  • MetLife Stadium
  • Field Type: Turf
• Weather: Clear Night
• Buffalo Bills are favored (-2.5) with an Over/Under of 40.5
• Stream on ESPN/ABC

We get the Buffalo Bills traveling to the New York Jets for Monday Night Football. The Bills are dealing with some injuries to Khalil Shakir and James Cook, which could force the team to focus on their rookies in this game. They will face a Jets defense that has been very good on defense this year. The Bills need to come to develop Keon Coleman to give them a trusted threat outside in this game. The chance that Josh Allen will have to put the team on his back is high.

The Jets are looking to find a spark after finding their head coach this past week. This could be a big week for the Jets running backs Breece Hall and Braelon Allen as they face one of the worst run defenses in football. The team should get back to running the ball and allow Aaron Rodgers to manage in a big divisional game. While Garrett Wilson is coming off an impressive 22-target game, he is likely to regress in production against a top-three secondary in football.

Quarterbacks

• The Jets have only allowed 2 passing touchdowns this season. 
• Josh Allen has averaged only 1 passing touchdown per game in 11 career games versus the Jets.
• Aaron Rodgers has just one game over 20 fantasy points this season.

Running Backs

• The Bills have allowed 3 running backs to have 6 or more receptions in a game this year.
• The Bills have allowed a rushing touchdown in back-to-back games.
• The Jets have allowed 3 opposing running backs to run over 60 rushing yards.
• Ray Davis would get a boost to RB3 with James Cook out.

Pass Catchers

• The Jets have allowed opposing WR1s to gain 60 or more receiving yards in a game.
• The Jets have not allowed a TE over 40 receiving yards this year.
• The Bills have allowed 3 receivers over 60 yards, and 2 of them were last week against the Texans.
• The Bills have let 2 tight ends over 30 yards this year.

In case you missed it, our First Round Mock Draft presented by the Dynasty Nerds’ Film Room was released earlier this week. See who some of our college analysts have going in the Top 12 of 2025 NFL rookie drafts:

Are you interested joining the #NerdHerd? Use the code “coach” for 15% off any membership. Sign up here and get an edge on all of your league mates today! You can get access to the DynastyGM tool (including our Trade Calculator and new Trade Finder), the Prospect Film Room, an extra weekly podcast, full rankings, and much, much more!

Table of Contents