The Week 3 Fantasy Preview for Thursday Night Football was curated by senior staff writer Steven Pintado using statistics from the Fantasy Points Data Suite. If you want access to these stats (and dozens of other proprietary figures) sign up here and use promo code NERDS to save 25% on a Data Suite or All-In subscription. Without further ado, let’s dig in to the TNF fantasy matchups!
New England Patriots (1-1) vs New York Jets (1-1)
Game Overview
- TNF: 8:20 pm @ Metlife Stadium
- Field Type: Turf
- Weather – Possible Evening Showers
- New York Jets are favored (-6.5) with an Over/Under of 37.5
- Stream on Prime Video
| Teams | Def. Rank vs. QBs | Def. Rank vs. RBs | Def. Rank vs. WRs | Def. Rank vs. TEs | Offensive Plays Ran | Average Team Pt. Total | Yards Per Game | Pass Yards Per Game | Rush Yards per Game | Avg Time of Possession | 3rd Down CVR | 4th Down CVR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots | 13th | 10th | 20th | 6th | 65.0 | 18.0 | 300 | 122.5 | 177.5 | 33:58 | 39 % | – |
| Jets | 8th | 20th | 25th | 15th | 52.5 | 21.5 | 265 | 181.0 | 84.5 | 25:41 | 50 % | 0.00% |
The New England Patriots will travel to New Jersey to face off against the New York Jets. Look for the Patriots to continue to focus on the run, as that has been their bright spot this season. While the Patriots receivers have gone missing through two weeks, look for Hunter Henry to build off of his Week 2 finish. As for the Jets, they are in a similar boat as their backfield has been outstanding for both fantasy and the team’s success. We can only hope that Aaron Rodgers, in his first home game, can give the passing attack some life for the Jets fans.
Quarterback Fantasy Preview
| New York Jets | |||||||
| Player | Week 2 Ranking | Confidence Start Rating | Avg Pass Attempts | Avg Rush Attempts | Avg. Total Yards | Fantasy Rank (6 PPT) | Fantasy Points Per Game |
| Aaron Rodgers | Borderline QB2 | 35% | 25.5 | 1.5 | 171.5 | 22nd | 14.9 |
| New England Patriots | |||||||
| Player | Week 2 Ranking | Confidence Start Rating | Avg Pass Attempts | Avg Rush Attempts | Avg. Total Yards | Fantasy Rank (6 PPT) | Fantasy Points Per Game |
| Jacoby Brissett | QB 3 | 5% | 25.5 | 4.5 | 154 | 30th | 10.3 |
- Aaron Rodgers is averaging his lowest pass attempts per game in his career. The Jets offense is going to be managed by Rodgers, not won.
Running Back Fantasy Preview
| New York Jets | ||||||||
| Player | Week 2 Ranking | Confidence Start Rating | Avg Offensive Snaps | Avg Rush Attempts | Avg Carry Share | Avg Target Share | Fantasy Rank (PPR) | Fantasy Points Per Game |
| Breece Hall | RB 1 | 95% | 77% | 15.0 | 69.8% | 23.7% | 5th | 21.4 |
| Braelon Allen | RB 4 | 45% | 27% | 4.0 | 18.6% | 8.5% | 27th | 11.2 |
| New England Patriots | ||||||||
| Player | Week 2 Ranking | Confidence Start Rating | Avg Offensive Snaps | Avg Rush Attempts | Avg Carry Share | Avg Target Share | Fantasy Rank (PPR) | Fantasy Points Per Game |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | RB 1 | 100 % | 78% | 23.0 | 61.3% | 15.7% | 9th | 18.1 |
| Antonio Gibson | RB 4 | 40% | 22% | 9.0 | 24.0% | 2.0% | 39th | 6.3 |
- Breece Hall has an elite target share (23.7%) in the Jets offense. Even on a poor run day, Hall should get his fantasy production through the receiving game.
- Hall has averaged almost 100 rushing yards in 2 career games versus New England
- Rhamondre Stevenson averages over 20 carries per game. He is a workhorse running back in fantasy this season.
Wide Receiver Fantasy Preview
| New York Jets | |||||||||
| Player | Week 2 Ranking | Confidence Start Rating | Avg Offensive Snaps | Avg Targets | Avg Target Share | Fantasy Rank (PPR) | Fantasy Points Per Game | Avg Routes Run | Slot % |
| Garrett Wilson | WR 2 | 85% | 96% | 8.5 | 28.8% | 35th | 11.1 | 28.5 | 36.8% |
| Mike Williams | Outside Top 60 | 5% | 42% | 0.5 | 1.7% | 114th | 1.5 | 11 | 22.7% |
| Allen Lazard | Outside Top 60 | 30% | 91% | 6.5 | 22.0% | 22nd | 15.0 | 25 | 38.0% |
| New England Patriots | |||||||||
| Player | Week 2 Ranking | Confidence Start Rating | Avg Offensive Snaps | Avg Targets | Avg Target Share | Fantasy Rank (PPR) | Fantasy Points Per Game | Avg Routes Run | Slot % |
| KJ Osborn | Outside Top 60 | 30% | 69% | 4.0 | 15.7% | 93rd | 3.4 | 16 | 11.2% |
| Demario Douglas | Outside Top 60 | 10% | 58% | 1.5 | 5.9% | 112th | 1.6 | 23 | 39.8% |
| Ja’Lynn Polk | Outside Top 60 | 15% | 57% | 2.0 | 7.8% | 74th | 5.4 | 19 | 21.1% |
- Despite Garrett Wilson‘s high target score (28.8%), he is off to the worst start of his three-year NFL career. He’ll have a tough matchup against Patriots corner Christian Gonzalez.
- The Patriots top four wide receivers have combined for 85 total receiving yards through 2 games.
Tight End Fantasy Preview
| New York Jets | |||||||||
| Player | Week 2 Ranking | Confidence Start Rating | Avg Offensive Snaps | Avg Targets | Avg Target Share | Fantasy Rank (PPR) | Fantasy Points Per Game | Average Routes Run | Slot % |
| Tyler Conklin | Outside Top 24 | 15% | 92% | 2.0 | 6.78% | 47th | 1.8 | 23.5 | 55.3% |
| New England Patriots | |||||||||
| Player | Week 2 Ranking | Confidence Start Rating | Avg Offensive Snaps | Avg Targets | Avg Target Share | Fantasy Rank (PPR) | Fantasy Points Per Game | Average Routes Run | Slot % |
| Hunter Henry | TE1 | 70% | 84% | 7.5 | 29.41% | 4th | 11.4 | 26.5 | 30.6% |
- Week 2’s performance for Hunter Henry was the best in his career. I wouldn’t expect his high target share to be sustainable all season.
We hope you enjoy the new format heading into Week 3. If there are stats you’d like to see moving forward, reach out or comment below. Dynasty Nerds wants to give you all the tools and information to help you win your week and will continue to make improvements during the season!
Thank you for reading the Fantasy Preview! For further fantasy advice, hit me up on X @CoachStevenP or on the Dynasty Nerds Discord! My content is aimed at those in the #NerdHerd wanting easily digestible information to help them win a dynasty championship.
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