It is championship week. Congratulations to you for getting here. There will not be any start/sit columns in Week 18. You should just sit back and enjoy some football watching.
Week 16 delivered another 2-2 week. Not great, Bob. The game scripts didn’t go as expected, and I went 2-2 on my start/sit calls. That brings my record on the season is: 20 hits, 15 misses, and 2 pushes.
Be sure to follow our other start/sit articles and authors; they contain great advice to help you each week.
Changing the Call (QB): Mike Hicks
The Cutback (RB): Jake Oliver
Slant Pattern (WR): Tristan Cook
12 Formation (TE): Steven Pintado
Flex on ‘Em (FLEX): Evan Brown
IDP Start/Sit (IDP): Jon Glosser
There is one thing I want to note. For this article and every running back start/sit article I write, I won’t include players like Christian McCaffrey or Austin Ekeler. These are apparent starts so long as they aren’t on bye or injured. If you don’t start them, well, you’re a Taco. I’ll be focusing on players who are a bit harder to decide whether to start or what to expect from them. All scoring in this article series will be PPR. All stats/RB# number finishes come from FantasyPros. So, let’s make this a great season as we watch over 200+ games of NFL football. It’s back! Good luck with this dynasty fantasy football season.
The Recap
Oh, what could have been if only the coaches could read my mind.
Sit: Raheem Mostert, Dolphins, RB6 – finished RB21, hit
Mostert out touched De’Von Achane vs. the Cowboys, but Achane out snapped Mostert 55% to 29%. Mostert’s day was saved by a receiving touchdown on his only target making him startable at RB21, but far away from his RB6 projection.
Start: Breece Hall, Jets, RB14 – finished RB1, hit
Breece Hall crushed his RB14 projection, putting up 43.1 points and finishing as the RB1. Hall had 20 carries and 16 targets, a whopping 36 opportunities and 42.4% opportunity share.
Start: Aaron Jones, Packers, RB18 – finished RB16, miss
Jones had a great day on the ground rushing for 127 yards. Unfortunately, he was vultured on one-yard touchdowns by Jordan Love and AJ Dillon. Getting just one of those vultured touchdowns would have put him at RB7 and turned this call into a hit.
Start: Chuba Hubbard, Panthers, RB20 – finished RB20, miss
Hubbard was up against a Packers team that gave up an average of 4.5 yards per carry and 135 yards per game. However, he managed a paltry 2.7 yards per carry. The Pack also give up 6 receptions per game to running backs but the Panthers managed only two receptions. Hitting those averages would have put Hubbard in the top 14 running backs.
Caught some bad luck in a couple of games and ended up 2-2 in Week 16.
Start: Jonathan Taylor, Colts, RB9
What a couple of years it has been for Jonathan Taylor. Injuries, contract issues, Zack Moss, what else could go wrong? Taylor has six RB1 games over the past two seasons. Today against the Raiders he gets back up there. The Raiders give up top 12 rushing yards, rushing touchdowns, and running back receptions. Add to the mix Zack Moss is out today. I have Taylor as a top five running back in Week 17.
Start: Aaron Jones, Packers, RB16
Week 16 was a bit frustrating for Aaron Jones managers. Jones put up 135 yards on 24 opportunities but was vultured on two 1-yard touchdowns. Jones looks to be healthy and goes up against a team giving up the 7th most receptions to running backs. Look for Jones to lead the Packers running backs in carries, targets, and to get at least one touchdown. A top-12 week is incoming.
Start: Zamir White, Raiders, RB21
I was admittedly not high on White when he entered the NFL. I’m not sure I am high on him now, but he is getting the volume. White has stepped into the Josh Jacobs role and not looked back, putting up top 16 production the last two weeks. The Indianapolis Colts give up the 5th most rushing yards and the second most rushing touchdowns. I am looking at White to be inside the top 15 running backs in Week 17.
Start: Chuba Hubbard, Panthers, RB26
The Panthers rookie quarterback seemed to come to life in Week 16. In a matchup with a CJ Beathard led Jacksonville Jaguars this looks to be a lower scoring affair. That is good news for Hubbard who is the RB1 in Carolina. Chuba Hubbard is the RB13 over the last four games and I have him as a top 16 running back.
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