2024 Fantasy Forecast: New York Jets

Welcome to the Fantasy Forecast series! We at Dynasty Nerds will be talking about every NFL team and breaking down the players on that team. We will talk about their value for the upcoming season and give dynasty advice on what you should do with that player if so.

The New York Jets had enormous hope for a success-starved franchise in 2023. That all changed one offensive series into the first game, as Aaron Rodgers tore his Achilles. With Rodgers fully recovered, 2024 should be a better year. Let’s break down the positions and players.

Quarterbacks

Aaron Rodgers

It was a lost season for Rodgers. He didn’t finish the first drive of the year due to injury. He has fully healed and is ready to play for 2024. We know who Rodgers is. He has been a performer on the field and has been a valuable fantasy asset. Between 2015 and 2022, he averaged 4,114 passing yards and a QB6 PPR Rank in seasons where he played most or all games. 

Recently, Rodgers’s value has depreciated due to his age and concerns regarding his injury. His trade value in Superflex leagues is between a future first and two future seconds. If I’m a contender, this is the exact type of move I am making to solidify my QB2. I anticipate Rodgers hitting at least his passing yards average and being a top 10-14 quarterback for the 2024 season.

Tyrod Taylor/Jordan Travis

Taylor is a capable quarterback who has shown to be somewhat competent when called upon. He would be a handcuff target for me if I owned Rodgers. Travis was a 2024 fifth-round pick. He opens camp as the QB3 on the depth chart and is overcoming a gruesome leg injury last season. Travis is a late-round target for me in rookie drafts, as he is someone I can park on my taxi squad. I hope he has some spot starts in the future. I don’t anticipate him turning into anything with consistent fantasy production.

Running Backs

Breece Hall

Arguably, Hall is the RB2 in dynasty formats. He is almost two years removed from his ACL tear and will benefit from much better quarterback play than he has ever played with in New York. Last season, Hall was RB4 on the year, and I anticipate, if healthy, that he will finish in the same range this year. He is an elite dynasty asset, and I am not moving him unless I am in a full-blown rebuild.

Backups

I expect Braelon Allen to be the primary backup instead of Isaiah Davis and Izzy Abanikanda. Allen was a 2024 fourth-round pick and is a massive running back who will be a bruiser between the tackles. However, none of these players are valuable as long as Breece Hall is active and starting. 

Wide Receivers

Garrett Wilson

Wilson has immense talent and upside but has been hampered by horrendous quarterback play for the first two seasons of his career. In 2022 and 2023, he was WR21 and WR26 respectively. Each season, he caught 83 or more passes for over 1,000 yards. He should blow the lid off those numbers with Rodgers at the helm. Additionally, the Jets signed Mike Williams, who has been an effective receiver in Los Angeles for several years and will take away some of the pressure and double teams that have plagued Wilson.

Unfortunately, Wilson doesn’t appear to have any discount based on recent trades in the Trade Browser, but I would still ask your league mate who owns him. As a contender or middle-of-the-road team, if I can acquire Wilson in a PPR league for two future 1sts, that is a move I am willing to make.

Mike Williams

Williams tore his ACL in game three last year. The Chargers overhauled their wide receiver room this offseason, cut Williams, and traded Keenan Allen to the Chicago Bears. Williams enters as the de facto WR2. However, I have concerns about his fantasy production this season. Health (or lack thereof) has been the focus of William’s career. In his seven seasons, he has only played one full season. He has had multiple back injuries, ankle and AC joint sprains, and tore his ACL. He has only had one WR1/WR2 season in his career. Most of the remaining seasons were WR4 or worse. 

The Jets traded up at the beginning of the third round to draft Malachi Corley, indicating that they need to plan for injuries while they like Williams. Williams is currently valued at around WR62 in PPR leagues. If I were a contender, I would be willing to part with a second-round pick to acquire him for depth. 

Best of the Rest

The two wide receivers to know are Xavier Gipson and third-round pick Malachi Corley. Both play primarily out of the slot. Gipson was a 2023 undrafted free agent and impressed so much that he made the opening night roster. Additionally, he scored a game-winning touchdown in Game 1 to get a win against the Bills, even though Aaron Rodgers went down in the same game. He also handles return duties and is a decent end-of-the-bench player who could provide value in spot starts. 

Malachi Corley is a speedster who should blow the doors off the defense and add a unique threat to Aaron Rodgers. I see Corley going in the late second or early third round of rookie drafts, and I am prioritizing him in that range.  

Tight Ends

Tyler Conklin/Jeremy Ruckert

Tight ends have not fared well when playing with Rodgers. From 2015-2022, only one tight end had a top-six season (Robert Tonyan in 2020). There were two TE12 seasons (2015 & 2018); the rest ranged from TE19 to TE49! Conklin nor Ruckert are anything special at the position. This is a group that I would honestly avoid until they show any consistency and chemistry with Rodgers. Otherwise, they can be left on the waiver wire.

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